Thanks, MrVee. Yours is what planted a seed in my mind a couple of months ago.
I wanted to do it last month, but needed more than a month and a half of data to base a model on. As of today, I have 77 days, which is enough to create a rudimentary one. It's a simple model, but it is adaptive. It's using my real-time weigh-in data and predicting future outcomes -- so, if/when my weight losses slow, it should predict lesser results. I overlayed my actual data to the model, made a tweak or two, and now the two sets of data now are pretty closely matched. Like yours, I can already see the declining rate of loss.... initially, my loss rate was 1.4%, but now it's down to about 1.25%. I suspect I'll maintain a rate greater than 1% for several months, as I have so much more weight to lose than you-- or most others. Then it'll (hopefully) stabilize at numbers close to what you're seeing.